Det finns en 25% chans att Ripple kommer att säkra direktvinst i XRP-fall: Advokat

• Advokaten John Deaton sa att det finns en 25% chans att Ripple kommer att säkra en direkt vinst i fallet med SEC.
• The chance of the fintech company’s victory by way of a “splitting the baby” ruling is around 50%.
• Deaton sa att det finns mindre än en 3% chans att SEC kan säkra en direkt vinst mot teknikföretaget.
• Det finns rykten om att Ripple söker ett börsintroduktion (IPO) efter att fallet med SEC avslutas.

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Fallet Ripple vs. United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) har varit ett av de mest omtalade ämnena i hela kryptoområdet, och slutet verkar vara mycket närmare. Efter år av debatter och uttalanden tror pro-XRP-advokaten John Deaton att det finns en 25% chans att fintechföretaget baserat i USA kommer att kunna säkra en direkt vinst mot värdepappersregulatorn i landet. Det är tydligt att advokaten är positiv till det amerikanska teknikföretaget. 

I ett avsnitt av The Good Morning Podcast last week, the founder of CryptoLaw stated that the chances of the SEC securing an outright win in the case against Ripple is less than 3%. Meanwhile, he also added that the chance of the fintech company’s victory by way of a “splitting the baby” ruling is around 50%. It is important to mention here that the lawsuit has been going on since 2020. 

Deaton has actively voiced his opinions when it comes to the Ripple vs. SEC case and has favored the former. The SEC alleges that the fintech firm offered US investors securities without first registering its offerings with the regulator. Interestingly, Deaton believes that there is a strong chance of the two entities settling the case by way of a “splitting the baby” ruling. 

This hints at the judge presiding, US District Judge Analisa Torres, “drawing a line in the sand” where she could potentially state that the XRP token was offered as a security prior to 2018. Now that the documents related to the former Securities and Exchange Commission corporation finance division director, William Hinman, kommer snart att offentliggöras, kan domaren ta hänsyn till det faktum att kryptovalutor kan bli värdepapper när de är helt decentraliserade. 

“I think that XRP itself is going to be deemed not a security and that I think that secondary market sales show comment. Even if [Judge Torres] does rule finding that Ripple violated the law, that doesn’t apply to secondary market sales,” Deaton explained.

On the other hand, Deaton also brought attention to something he called a “six-month list.” Every year, district judges must file with Congress a list consisting of all the cases that they couldn’t solve in six months, and Judge Torres has never been on this list. The pro-Ripple attorney pointed out that this list is “like a public shame list that says, ‘look I’m shitty at my job.’”

Finally, Deaton also gave a reasonable forecast for the price of the XRP token. He believes that the cryptocurrency will be rightly valued if it’s between the $2 and $10 price levels. There are also multiple rumors that Ripple might be gunning for an Initial Public Offering once the lawsuit is over, and as per CEO Brad Garlinghouse, the decision of the case will come in the next three to six months. 

Dessutom, i en påstående given to CNBC’s Dan Murphy at the Dubai Fintech Summit, Garlinghouse said:

“With the SEC, we will spend — this is the first time I’ve shared this publicly — by the time all’s said and done, we will have spent $200 million defending ourselves against a lawsuit, which from its very beginning, people were like, well, this doesn’t make a lot of sense.”

The Ripple executive also added that SEC Chair Gary Gensler is contradicting his own statements that he made when he was a professor at MIT. Garlinghouse said that Gensler has been recorded saying that 75% of digital assets are commodities while adding, “Now he says they’re all securities because he’s the head of the SEC and he’s seeking power and he’s putting power ahead of sound policy to grow an economy in the United States.”

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